Mutiny Sends Ruble to Lowest in 15 Months Mutiny Sends Ruble to Lowest in 15 Months
In one of the most turbulent trading sessions this year, the Russian ruble reached its lowest point against the US dollar in nearly 15 months on Monday. This decline followed the failed mutiny attempt by The Wagner group’s armed mercenaries over the weekend, which caused significant concern among traders. Initially catapulting to approximately 87 rubles per US dollar, the ruble later recovered some of its losses, settling at around 84.40, down 0.90% against the greenback.
The Wagner group, led by troops loyal to their leader, made an unexpected advancement toward Moscow, covering hundreds of miles before eventually reversing course. In a deal struck with the Kremlin, it is reported that the group's leader, Prigozhin, will go into exile in Belarus. This incident is regarded as the most significant challenge to Vladimir Putin's rule and could weaken his leadership.
The armed uprising also caused volatility in other markets. The international benchmark, Brent crude, rose by 0.8% to approximately $74 per barrel. The trading volume between the Russian ruble and Tether's USDT nearly quadrupled from $4 million on Saturday to $15 million on Sunday.
In other developments, the Japanese yen strengthened by 0.11% against the US dollar, trading at 143.50 per dollar. Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Masato Kanda, stated that Japan was not ruling out intervening in the currency markets again. He expressed concerns about the yen's rapid and one-sided depreciation against the dollar. Japan previously intervened in the foreign exchange markets in September and October of the previous year when the yen hit a 32-year low of nearly 152 per dollar.
USDRUB trade ideas
USDRUB - Ruble from the Rubble 49.79 Are you worried about all the rhetoric coming out of the US about Syrian attacks and the involvement of Russia, then look no further. Last week the RUB witnessed a flash crash on the new as Donald Trump opened his mouth on it. But the market sometimes knows better. When you look at a weekly chart the flash crash looks like a sneeze. This is the USDRUB so when it goes up the RUB is falling. That point marked as wave B is the flash crash. Barely 38.2% retracement. And if there is any more noise we might just kiss the wave ii high. The rise in B is counter trend move based on Elliott wave theory and unlikely to last. The Russian Ruble crashed in 2008-2016 when the dollar was in a bull market. That is called yesterday. The dollar is in a bear market now and so is the Russian Ruble. The noise then is nothing more than....you guessed it Rhetoric. At least that is what EW charts tell us. The move up in the USDRUB will end up failing soon as it is a-b-c up and once complete we start wave C down.to major new lows. This is also logical in the context that Oil prices, the biggest export of Russia, are rising. Rising commodity prices are positive for the currency pair and any fear trade will only make the USDRUB another big short. The Syria Russia Rhetoric will blow over.