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Info Edge - A Solid Business and Cup Pattern Info Edge is the parent company of Naukri.com, one of India’s leading online job portals with a dominant presence in the recruitment space. Key Strengths 1. Market Leadership: Naukri.com holds a virtual monopoly in the online job search market, being the top choice for both job seekers and employers. 2. Consistent Growth: The company has reported rising sales and profits over the last 5 years. 3. Robust Shareholding Structure (as of March 2025): ○ Promoters: 37.63% ○ Foreign Institutional Investors (FII): 33.25% ○ Domestic Institutional Investors (DII): 18.18% ○ Public: 10.17% 4. Low Debt: Negligible debt of ₹267 crore. 5. Strong Profitability: Operating Profit Margin (OPM) of 31%. Technical Analysis 1. On 12th August 2024, the weekly candle broke the previous high of ₹1450, last seen on 18th October 2021. 2. The stock surged to ₹1800 in the week of 6th January 2025, before correcting to ₹1160. 3. In the week of 12th May 2025, the stock once again crossed the ₹1450mark with strong volume. 4. Based on current momentum, the price could potentially reach ₹1800 by 31st May 2026. Disclaimer 1. Always conduct your own analysis before taking any position. Consider your risk-reward ratio. 2. Review the stock's performance monthly and take appropriate action if it underperforms. 3. Do not allocate more than 2%–3% of your trading capital to a single stock. Click on Boost if you like the Idea. leave a comment and i shall reply as much as i can.
NSE:NAUKRI
by rampalxyz
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now. The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much? My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of “Editors’ Picks” made me happier and helped me to create further. Why “Visual Investor”? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before. Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings. A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century. This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. “Dear Grandpa, why didn’t you buy something from that list ?” you might say in your heart. However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, “I was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didn’t climb into my own pile of nuts.” The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge. Part One This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes. Part two This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours. Part three This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours. I recommend reading the book “Visual Investor” thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as Replay and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy. Part One 1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes" The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac? The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.​​ 5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for? The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements.​ Duration of study: 20 minutes. 12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 14. Two captains of the same ship The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes. Part two 15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market! The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 16. Picking rules - the Lynch method The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings.​ Duration of study: 15 minutes. 17. A pill for missed opportunities The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 18. Man on the shoulders of giants The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 21. Assets I prioritize The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 22. A sense of debt The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 23. At the beginning was the Equity The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 24. The income statement: the place where profit lives The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 25. My precious-s-s-s EPS The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 26. What should I look at in the Income statement? The reader will learn which key income statement metrics — such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) — the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 28. Cash flow vibrations The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 29. Financial ratios: digesting them together The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 30. What can financial ratios tell us? The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes. Part three 31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1 The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2 The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request? The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 35. How to evaluate the work of company management? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows? The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail? The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 38. How to convert craziness into results? The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 39. How to use Replay to study indicators? The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 40. How to explain my decision-making system? The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes. 43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes. 44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 45. The Inside Out Investor The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 46. Effective inefficiency The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 47. Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee Lovers The reader will learn about the factors that create market inefficiencies, such as delays in the dissemination of information, high volatility, the actions of large players and participant errors, as well as the role of intermediaries - brokers and exchanges - in ensuring the efficiency and convenience of trading in financial markets. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 48. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind The reader will learn about the life of Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, his investment philosophy based on common sense and discipline, as well as his views on the importance of personal relationships and moderation in achieving success. Duration of study: 5 minutes.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Be_Capy
4
Ice Cream King Ready to Melt Resistance & Fly High!Hello everyone, i have Brought a stock which has given neat & clean breakout of a consolidation period with huge volume spurt, this is a ICEMAKER stock, as we all know summer almost has been started so these type of stocks will start roaring up let's start with discussing about the company. About the Company: Vadilal Industries Ltd , founded in 1907, is India’s 2nd largest ice cream brand , holding a 16% market share in the organized ice cream market. The company dominates the cones, cups, and candy segments and also exports frozen fruits, vegetables, and ready-to-eat products worldwide. Technical Setup & Trade Plan The stock is showing bullish momentum, breaking out from consolidation with strong volume confirmation. Historically, Vadilal sees increased demand in summer, making this a favorable seasonal play. Please check chart above for the Levels like entry, exit stop loss and targets! Why i found This Stock impressive? Seasonal Upside: Peak demand for ice cream during summer boosts sales . Market Leader: Strong position in India's growing frozen food segment. Technical Breakout: Bullish price action with volume support. Fundamental ratio: Market Cap ₹ 3,071 Cr. Current Price ₹ 4,272 High / Low ₹ 5,143 / 3,164 Stock P/E 19.7 Book Value ₹ 915 Dividend Yield 0.04 % ROCE 27.1 % ROE 31.0 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Industry PE 28.7 Debt ₹ 155 Cr. EPS ₹ 217 Promoter holding 64.7 % Intrinsic Value ₹ 2,125 Return over 5years 40.8 % Debt to equity 0.24 Net profit ₹ 156 Cr. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
NSE:VADILALINDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives. “I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better. Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”. The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm. Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result. November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
NYSE:BRK.AEducation
by Be_Capy
3
The Ultimate Guide to Building Wealth Through Smart Investing!Hello Traders & Investors! Are you wondering which investment method can build the largest corpus over the long term? With so many options— Stocks, ETFs, Mutual Funds, Gold, Bonds, Fixed Deposits, and even Options Writing, it’s crucial to know which one offers the best returns while managing risk effectively. Let’s dive into a detailed comparison to find the best strategy for long-term wealth creation! 1. Equity (Stocks) – The Ultimate Wealth Creator Average Returns: 12-18% CAGR (historically for strong companies). Why It’s Powerful: Equity investments compound over time and provide the highest long-term returns. Best For: Investors who can handle volatility and have a long investment horizon. Pros:     ✔ Compounding Effect – Small investments grow into massive wealth over time.     ✔ Beats Inflation – Equity is the best asset class for long-term wealth preservation. Cons:     ❌ High volatility in the short term.     ❌ Requires research & patience. 2. ETFs & Mutual Funds – Passive Investing for Consistency Average Returns: 10-15% CAGR (depending on market performance). Why It’s Powerful: Diversification and professional management make it a safer alternative to direct stock investing. Best For: Investors who want steady returns without active stock picking. Pros:     ✔ Low Risk Compared to Stocks – Reduces exposure to single-stock failures.     ✔ Great for Long-Term Investors – Set & forget approach. Cons:     ❌ Returns are slightly lower than individual stocks.     ❌ Expense ratios reduce overall profitability. 3. Gold – The Safe-Haven Asset Average Returns: 8-12% CAGR (historically). Why It’s Powerful: Gold holds value during market crashes and economic uncertainty. Best For: Investors looking for portfolio diversification and inflation protection. Pros:     ✔ Hedge Against Inflation & Crashes.     ✔ Highly Liquid – Easily Buy & Sell. Cons:     ❌ Lower long-term returns than stocks & ETFs.     ❌ No compounding effect. 4. Bonds & Fixed Deposits – Safety but Low Growth Average Returns: 6-8% CAGR (historically). Why It’s Powerful: Provides stability and guaranteed returns, making it a good option for conservative investors. Best For: Those seeking low-risk, fixed returns over time. Pros:     ✔ Principal Protection – No Market Risk.     ✔ Fixed Income Source. Cons:     ❌ Returns barely beat inflation.     ❌ Not ideal for wealth creation. 5. Option Writing – High Risk, High Reward Average Returns: 15-30% CAGR (if done correctly). Why It’s Powerful: Generates consistent income through premium collection. Best For: Experienced traders who understand risk management and capital allocation. Pros:     ✔ Consistent Income Through Premiums.     ✔ Can Profit in Any Market Condition. Cons:     ❌ High capital requirement.     ❌ Risk of significant losses in volatile markets. 6. The Best Long-Term Investment Strategy? For Maximum Growth: Equity (Stocks) + ETFs – The best for compounding wealth. For Balanced Growth & Safety: Equity + ETFs + Gold – A mix of high returns & stability. For Conservative Investors: ETFs + Bonds + Fixed Deposits – Low risk, but lower returns. For Passive Income Seekers: Dividend Stocks + Bonds – Steady returns with income. For Experienced Traders: Stocks + ETFs + Option Writing – High returns, requires skill. Conclusion There’s no single best investment, but if you want huge wealth creation, equities & ETFs outperform all other asset classes in the long run. Add gold & bonds for stability, and if experienced, option writing can generate extra income. What’s your preferred investment strategy for long-term wealth creation? Let’s discuss below! 👇
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
How ETF Investing Can Make You Rich in the Long Term!Hello Traders & Investors! Ever wondered how ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) can help you build massive wealth over time? Unlike stock picking, ETFs offer a simple, diversified, and low-cost way to grow your money steadily. If you’re looking for consistent returns without active trading, this post is for you! Let’s explore how ETF investing can create long-term financial success! 1. Why ETFs Are a Wealth-Building Machine? Diversification with One Investment: ETFs hold multiple stocks, bonds, or assets, reducing the risk of a single stock crash. Passive Investing with Compounding Growth: ETFs let your money grow effortlessly over years with minimal effort. Lower Costs, Higher Returns: ETFs have lower expense ratios than mutual funds, saving you money over time. Reinvested Dividends Boost Wealth: Many ETFs offer dividend reinvestment (DRIP), letting your gains compound. Better Risk Management: Since ETFs spread investments across different sectors and asset classes, they offer stability in market downturns. 2. How to Choose the Right ETFs for Long-Term Wealth? Broad Market ETFs (S&P 500, Nifty 50, Nasdaq-100): These track major indexes and provide steady growth over time. Sector-Specific ETFs: If you believe in tech, healthcare, or energy, sector ETFs let you invest in growing industries. Dividend ETFs for Passive Income: High-yield dividend ETFs provide stable income while growing your capital. Bond & Gold ETFs for Safety: These add stability and protection during market volatility. Low-Cost ETFs with High Liquidity: Look for ETFs with low expense ratios & high trading volume. 3. The Magic of Compounding with ETFs Long-Term Investing Always Wins: ETFs benefit from compounding returns, where small gains snowball into large wealth. Automate Your Investments: Use Systematic Investment Plans (SIP) to invest regularly without worrying about market timing. Stay Invested in Market Crashes: The best gains happen when the market recovers. Never panic-sell! Reinvest Dividends for Faster Growth: A small dividend can turn into massive returns over decades. Think in Decades, Not Days: ETF investing is about long-term wealth accumulation, not short-term trading. 4. How to Start ETF Investing Today? Open a Brokerage Account: Choose a platform that offers commission-free ETF investing. Pick Your ETFs Based on Goals: Want growth? Choose ** index ETFs. Want safety? Go for bond ETFs. Start Small & Increase Over Time: Even small investments grow exponentially with time. Stay Consistent: Invest monthly or quarterly, regardless of market conditions. Rebalance When Needed: Once a year, adjust your ETF holdings to stay aligned with your financial goals. Conclusion ETFs are a powerful, simple, and low-cost way to build long-term wealth. They offer diversification, passive income, and compound growth without the stress of stock picking. If you’re serious about financial freedom, ETF investing is one of the best paths to get there! Are you investing in ETFs? Share your thoughts and favorite ETFs in the comments!👇
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
How to Spot the Market Bottom Before Everyone Else!Hello Traders! Catching the exact market bottom feels like finding a needle in a haystack. Many traders jump in too early and get trapped in false recoveries, while others wait too long and miss the best buying opportunities. So, how do we know when the market has truly bottomed out? Let’s break it down! 1. Key Signs That a Market Bottom is Forming Extreme Fear & Capitulation: When panic selling accelerates, weak hands get flushed out, and volume spikes—this is often the final shakeout before a reversal. Divergence in Indicators: If price is making lower lows, but indicators like RSI, MACD, or OBV are making higher lows, this signals weakening selling pressure. Institutional Buying (Smart Money Inflow): Look for large volume spikes at key support zones— institutions accumulate when retail traders panic sell. VIX & Fear Index Peaking: A spike in volatility (VIX) and extreme fear readings indicate that the market is near capitulation. Market Structure Shift: A higher high after a long downtrend signals a potential reversal and confirms a bottom formation. 2. Confirmation That the Bottom is In! Breakout Above Key Resistance: If the price successfully reclaims a major resistance zone and holds above it, this confirms a shift in momentum. Higher Highs & Higher Lows: A classic uptrend structure forms when the market starts making higher highs and higher lows. Sector Rotation & Strength in Leading Stocks: Watch for growth stocks, tech, or financials gaining strength before the broader market recovers. Positive Economic Triggers: Market bottoms often align with central bank policy shifts, interest rate pauses, or strong earnings reports. Volume Confirmation: The strongest bottoms are confirmed by high buying volume on up days and low selling volume on down days. 3. Common Traps to Avoid When Predicting Market Bottoms Catching the Falling Knife: Just because an asset has dropped significantly doesn’t mean it can’t go lower! Always wait for confirmation. Fake Breakouts & Dead Cat Bounces: A sharp rally during a bear market doesn’t always mean the bottom is in. Watch for volume and trend confirmations. Ignoring Macro Trends: If the Fed is still raising rates, inflation is high, or economic data is weak, the market could stay in a downtrend longer than expected. Not Managing Risk Properly: Always use stop-losses, proper position sizing, and avoid going all-in at once! 4. How to Trade a Market Bottom Effectively Look for Leading Stocks in Strong Sectors: The first stocks to recover often outperform the entire market. Use Scaling Entries: Instead of buying all at once, scale in with multiple entries as confirmation builds. Monitor Sentiment Indicators: Extreme bearishness in news and social media often signals a turning point. Trade with Trend Confirmation: Wait for the first higher high & pullback retest to confirm an uptrend. Have an Exit Plan: If the trend fails, cut losses quickly. If it works, let winners run! Conclusion Finding a market bottom isn’t about guessing—it’s about using data, price action, and sentiment indicators to confirm a shift in momentum. The best traders don’t try to buy the lowest price, they buy when the trend is shifting in their favor! Do you think the market has bottomed out yet? Let’s discuss below!👇
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
6
Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee LoversWhen the market is efficient, the most efficient strategy will yield zero financial return for the investor. Therefore, firstly, it is necessary to strive to find inefficiencies in the market itself to apply a strategy that will be effective for it. What creates market inefficiency? First, there are delays in disseminating important information about the company, such as the approval of a contract with a major customer or an accident at a plant. If current and potential investors do not receive this information immediately, the market becomes inefficient at the time such an event occurs. In other words, objective reality is not considered by market participants. This makes the stock price obsolete. Secondly, the market becomes inefficient during periods of high volatility. I would describe it this way: when uncertainty hits everyone, emotions become the main force influencing prices. At such times, the market value of a company can change significantly within a single day. Investors have too many different assessments of what is happening to find the necessary balance. Volatility can be triggered by the bankruptcy of a systemically important company (for example, as happened with Lehman Brothers), the outbreak of military action, or a natural disaster. Third, there is the massive action of large players in a limited market - a "bull in a china shop" situation. A great example is the story of 2021, when the Reddit community drove up the price of GameStop shares, forcing hedge funds to cover their short positions at sky-high prices. Fourthly, these are ineffective strategies of the market participants themselves. On August 1, 2012, American stock market trading company Knight Capital caused abnormal volatility in more than 100 stocks by sending millions of orders to the exchange over a 45-minute period. For example, Wizzard Software Corporation shares rose from $3.50 to $14.76. This behavior was caused by a bug in the code that Knight Capital used for algorithmic trading. The combination of these and other factors creates inefficiencies that are exploited by trained traders or investors to make a profit. However, there are market participants who receive their income in any market. They are above the fray and are engaged in supporting and developing the infrastructure itself. In mathematics, there is a concept called a “zero-sum game”. This is any game where the sum of the possible gains is equal to the sum of the losses. For example, the derivatives market is a perfect embodiment of a zero-sum game. If someone makes a profit on a futures contract, he always has a partner with a similar loss. However, if you dive deeper, you will realize that this is a negative-sum game, since in addition to profit and loss, there are commissions that you pay to the infrastructure: brokers, exchanges, regulators, etc. To understand the value of these market participants and that you are paying them well, imagine a modern world without them. There is only a company issuing shares and investors in them. Such a company has its own software, and you connect to it via the Internet to buy or sell shares. The company offers you a quote for buying and selling shares ( bid-ask spread ). The asking price ( ask ) will be influenced by the company's desire to offer a price that will help it not lose control over the company, consider all expected income, dividends, etc. The purchase price ( bid ) will be influenced by the company's desire to preserve the cash received in the capital market, as well as to earn money on its own shares by offering a lower price. In general, in such a situation, you will most likely get a huge difference between the purchase and sale prices - a wide bid-ask spread . Of course, the company understands that the wider the bid-ask spread , the less interest investors have in participating in such trading. Therefore, it would be advisable to allow investors to participate in the formation of quotes. In other words, a company can open its order book to anyone who wants to participate. Under such conditions, the bid-ask spread will be narrowed by bids from a wide range of investors. As a result, we will get a situation where each company will have its own order book and its own software to connect to it. From a portfolio investor's perspective, this would be a real nightmare. In such a world, investing in not one, but several companies would require managing multiple applications and accounts for each company at the same time. This will create a demand from investors for one app and one account to manage investments in multiple companies. Such a request will also be supported by the company issuing the shares, as it will allow it to attract investors from other companies. This is where the broker comes in. Now everything is much better and more convenient. Investors get the opportunity to invest in multiple companies through one account and one application, and companies get investors from each other. However, the stock market will still be segmented, as not all brokers will support cooperation with individual companies, for technical or other reasons. The market will be fragmented among many brokerage companies. The logical solution would be to create another market participant that would have contracts with each of the companies and universal software for trading their shares. The only thing is that it will be brokers, not investors, who will connect to such a system. You may have already guessed that this is an exchange. On the one hand, the exchange registers shares of companies, on the other hand, it provides access to trading them through brokers who are its members. Of course, the modern structure of the stock market is more complex: it involves clearing, depository companies, registrars of rights to shares, etc.* The formation of such institutions and their licensing is handled by a regulator, for example, the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States ( SEC ). As a rule, the regulator is responsible for legislative initiatives in the field of the securities market, licensing of market participants, monitoring violations in the market and supporting its efficiency, protecting investors from unfair manipulation. *Clearing services are activities to determine, control and fulfill obligations under transactions of financial market participants. Depository services - services for the storage of securities and the recording of rights to them. Thus, by making a transaction on the exchange, we contribute to the maintenance of this necessary infrastructure. Despite the fashion for decentralization, it is still difficult to imagine how one can ensure speed, convenience and access to a wide range of assets due to the absence of an intermediary institution. The other side of the coin of this institution is infrastructure risk. You can show phenomenal results in the market, but if your broker goes bankrupt, all your efforts will be nullified. Therefore, before choosing an intermediary, it is useful to conduct a mental survey of the person you will be dealing with. Below you will find different types of intermediaries, which I have arranged according to their distance from the central elements of the infrastructure (exchanges, clearing houses, depositories). Prime broker Exchange Membership: mandatory License: mandatory Acceptance and accounting of your funds/shares: mandatory Order execution: mandatory Clearing and depository services: mandatory Marginal services: mandatory Remuneration: commission income from trades, clearing, depository and margin services This category includes well-known financial houses with history and high capitalization. They are easily verified through lists of exchange members, clearing and depository companies. They provide services not only to individuals, but also to banks, funds and next-level brokers. Broker Exchange membership: mandatory License: mandatory Acceptance and accounting of your funds/shares: mandatory Order execution: mandatory Clearing and depository services: on the prime broker side Margin services: on the prime broker side or own Remuneration: commission income from trades and margin services This category includes intermediaries with a focus on order routing. They delegate participation in depository and clearing services to a prime broker. However, such brokers can also be easily verified in the lists of exchange members. Sub-broker Exchange Membership: no License: mandatory Acceptance and accounting of your funds/shares: mandatory Order execution: on the broker or prime broker side Clearing and depository services: on the prime broker side Margin services: on the broker or prime broker side Remuneration: commission income from trades This category includes brokers who have a brokerage license in their country, but do not have membership in foreign exchanges. To provide trading services on these exchanges, they enter into agreements with brokers or prime brokers from another country. They can be easily verified by license on the website of the regulator of the country of registration. Introducing Broker Exchange Membership: no License: optional, depending on the country of regulation Acceptance and accounting of your funds / shares: no Order execution: on the side of the sub-broker, broker or prime broker Clearing and depository services: on the prime broker side Margin services: on the broker or prime broker side Remuneration: commission income for the attracted client and/or a share of the commissions paid by them This category includes companies that are not members of the exchange. Their activities may not require a license, since they do not accept funds from clients, but only assist in opening an account with one of the top-tier brokers. This is a less transparent level, since such an intermediary cannot be verified through the exchange and regulator’s website (unless licensing is required). Therefore, if an intermediary of this level asks you to transfer some money to his account, most likely you are dealing with a fraudster. All four categories of participants are typical for the stock market. Its advantage over the over-the-counter market is that you can always check the financial instrument on the exchange website, as well as those who provide services for its trading (membership - on the exchange website, license - on the regulator's website). Pay attention to the country of origin of the broker's license. You will receive maximum protection in the country where you have citizenship. In case of any claims against the broker, communication with the regulator of another country may be difficult. As for the over-the-counter market, this segment typically trades shares of small-cap companies (not listed on the exchange), complex derivatives and contracts for difference ( CFD ). This is a market where dealers rule, not brokers and exchanges. Unlike a broker, they sell you their open position, often with a lot of leverage. Therefore, trading with a dealer is a priori a more significant risk. In conclusion, it should be noted that the institution of intermediation plays a key role in the development of the stock market. It arose as a natural need of its participants for concentration of supply and demand, greater speed and security of financial transactions. To get a feel for this, let me tell you a story. New Amsterdam, 1640s A warm wind from the Hudson brought the smell of salt and freshly cut wood. The damp logs of the palisade, dug into the ground along the northern boundary of the settlement, smelled of resin and new hopes. Here, on the edge of civilization, where Dutch colonists were reclaiming their homes and future fortunes from the wild forest, everything was built quickly, but with a view to lasting for centuries. The wooden wall built around the northern border of the town was not only a defense against raids, but also a symbol. A symbol of the border between order and chaos, between the ambitions of European settlers and the freedom of these lands. Over the years, the fortification evolved into a real fortification: by 1653, Peter Stuyvesant, appointed governor of New Netherland by the West India Company, ordered the wall to be reinforced with a palisade. It was now twelve feet high, and armed sentries stood on guard towers. But even the strongest walls do not last forever. Half a century after their construction, in 1685, a road was built along the powerful palisade. The street received a simple and logical name - Wall Street. It soon became a bustling commercial artery for the growing city. In 1699, when the English authorities had already established themselves here finally, the wall was dismantled. She disappeared, but Wall Street remained. A century has passed Now, at the end of the 18th century, there were no walls or guard towers on this street. Instead, a plane tree grew here - a large, spreading one, the only witness to the times when the Dutch still owned this city. Traders, dealers, and sea captains met under its shadow. Opposite the buttonwood tree stood the Tontine Coffee House, a place where not just respectable people gathered, but those who understood that money makes this world go round. They exchanged securities right on the pavement, negotiated over a cup of steaming coffee, and discussed deals that could change someone's fate. Decisions were made quickly - a word, backed up by a handshake, was enough. It was a time when honor was worth more than gold. But the world was changing. The volume of trades grew, and chaos demanded rules. May 17, 1792 That spring day turned out to be decisive. Under the branches of an old buttonwood tree, 24 New York brokers gathered to start a new order. The paper they signed contained only two points: trades are made only between their own, without auctioneers, and the commission is fixed at 0.25%. The document was short but historic. It was called the Buttonwood Agreement, after the tree under which it was signed. Here, amid the smell of fresh coffee and ink, the New York Stock Exchange was born. Soon, deals were being concluded under the new rules. The first papers to be traded were those of The Bank of New York , whose headquarters were just a few steps away at 1 Wall Street. Thus, under the shade of an old tree, the history of Wall Street began. A story that will one day change the whole world. Buttonwood Agreement. A fresco by an unknown artist who adorns the walls of the New York Stock Exchange.
NYSE:BACEducation
by Be_Capy
Bulletproof Trading plan that keeps you Disciplined & ProfitableHello Traders! A solid trading plan is the backbone of long-term success in the stock market. Without a well-defined strategy, you're just gambling! Let’s break down how to create a bulletproof trading plan that keeps you disciplined and profitable. 1. DEFINE YOUR TRADING GOALS Know Your Why – Are you trading for financial freedom, side income, or wealth creation? Define your primary objective before starting. Set Realistic Expectations – Don’t aim for 100% returns in a month. Instead, set achievable goals based on your risk capacity and market conditions. Time Commitment – Decide how much time you can dedicate to trading daily. Full-time traders have different goals than part-time traders. Determine Risk Tolerance – Some traders are comfortable taking bigger risks, while others prefer slow and steady gains. Know what suits you best. 2. CHOOSE YOUR TRADING STYLE Scalping – Quick in-and-out trades, usually within minutes. Requires a sharp focus and high execution speed. Intraday Trading – Buying and selling within the same day. Ideal for traders who can monitor charts and execute trades during market hours. Swing Trading – Holding trades for a few days to weeks. Best for those who want to capitalize on short-term trends without daily monitoring. Positional Trading – A long-term approach where trades are held for months or years based on fundamental and technical analysis. Perfect for those who prefer low stress and bigger trends. 3. RISK MANAGEMENT IS EVERYTHING! Position Sizing – Never risk more than 1-2% of your total capital per trade. This ensures you survive even after a losing streak. Stop-Loss Discipline – Always place stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Never trade without one! Risk-Reward Ratio – Aim for a minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio. This means risking ₹1 to potentially make ₹2, ensuring profitability over time. Diversification – Avoid putting all your money in one stock or asset. Spread risk across different sectors or instruments. 4. DEVELOP YOUR ENTRY & EXIT STRATEGY Entry Signals – Use technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, MACD, or price action patterns to confirm trade entries. Predefined Exits – Set both stop-loss and take-profit targets before entering a trade. This removes emotions from decision-making. Trend Confirmation – Don’t jump in randomly! Look for strong confirmation signs like higher highs & higher lows in uptrends, or lower highs & lower lows in downtrends. Avoid Chasing – If you miss an entry, don’t jump in late. Wait for the next opportunity instead of chasing the price. 5. KEEP A TRADING JOURNAL Record Every Trade – Note down entry price, exit price, stop-loss, profit/loss, and the reason for taking the trade. Analyze Mistakes – Review losing trades to identify common errors, such as emotional trading or ignoring stop-losses. Track Your Performance – Monitor win/loss ratios, average risk-reward ratios, and overall consistency. Continuous Improvement – A journal helps refine your strategy over time, making you a better trader. 6. CONTROL YOUR EMOTIONS Fear & Greed Control – Never let emotions dictate your trades. Follow your plan, not your feelings. Avoid Revenge Trading – If you hit a loss, don’t immediately jump back in to "recover." This often leads to bigger losses. Stay Disciplined – The best traders follow strict rules and don’t deviate based on market noise. Take Breaks – If you’re feeling frustrated, step away from the charts. A clear mind leads to better decisions. Final Tip: A trading plan is only as good as your discipline to follow it. Stick to your strategy, and let consistency bring you profits! Do you have a trading plan in place? Let me know in the comments! 👇
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
6
Reliance Industries Long Term Chart Analysis 53% Upside PossibleHello everyone, i hope you all would be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought an stock which is a ELEPHANT of indian market yes your guess is right, i am talking about Reliance Stock and it is trading inside the long-term trend within an upward rising channel. The price has tested both the upper resistance band and lower support band multiple times, confirming the channel's reliability. Currently, the stock is near the lower support band (1185-1155), making it a high-probability support zone for potential upside moves. A stop loss is placed at ₹986 in case of a breakdown. The projected targets are set as follows: Short-term target: 1285, Second target: 1400, Medium-term target: 1532, and the Final long-term target: 1800. The analysis suggests a 53% potential upside if the stock respects the lower band and continues its bullish trajectory. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation before entry. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by TraderRahulPal
2
Momentum Trading vs. Value Investing: Which Strategy Suits You?Hello Traders! Today, let’s break down two polar-opposite strategies: Momentum Trading and Value Investing . Both can be profitable, but they cater to vastly different mindsets. Let’s find your fit! Momentum Trading: Ride the Trend What It Does: Capitalizes on short-term price momentum and volatility. Best For: Active traders who thrive on quick decisions and market noise. Some Stocks Examples (Not a Buy or sell recommendation) : Adani Ports (ADANIPORTS) (infrastructure momentum plays). Tata Motors (TATAMOTORS) (EV sector volatility). Pros: Quick profits in trending markets. Works well with technical indicators like RSI and MACD . Cons: High risk of false breakouts. Requires constant monitoring. Value Investing: Buy Low, Hold Long 🛡️ What It Does: Targets undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals. Best For: Patient investors focused on long-term wealth. Some Stocks Examples (Not a Buy or sell recommendation) : HDFC Bank (HDFCBANK) (undervalued banking giant). ITC (ITC) (FMCG stalwart with dividend history). Pros: Margin of safety with low P/E ratios . Compounding returns over decades. Cons: Slow growth in sideways markets. Requires deep fundamental analysis. Which Strategy Wins? Momentum Trading : Ideal for volatile markets (e.g., trading Nifty 50 breakouts). Value Investing : Perfect for bear markets or undervalued sectors (e.g., PSU stocks). Hybrid Approach : Use momentum for short-term gains and value picks as core holdings. TradingView Tools to Try For Momentum: Track volume spikes , Bollinger Bands , and trend lines . For Value: Use fundamental screeners for ROE , debt-to-equity , and dividend history . Final Takeaway Momentum = Fast-paced, high-risk, high-reward. Value = Slow and steady, low-risk compounding. Your Turn! Are you a momentum chaser, a value hunter, or a mix of both? Share your style below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status Quo Hello Traders! Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value. Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success: Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies. Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns. Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in. Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth. Notable Investments and Activist Moves Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays: Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence. Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value. Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant. Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks. Risk Management and Position Sizing When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns: Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning. Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains. Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform. What This Means for Investors Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul. For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies: Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital. Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions. Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff. Conclusion Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success. Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together! Tags: activistinvesting, BillAckman, valueinvesting, stockmarket, investmentstrategies, hedgefund, riskmanagement, longterminvesting, traderpsychology Title: Mastering Activist Investing with Bill Ackman: A Strategy for Big Returns
Education
by TraderRahulPal
PFC has given Breakout of Falling Resistance Trendline in 30 MinHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, i am bring very short term trading idea on PFC, actually it has given breakout of falling resistance Trendline on very short term timeframe. I feel we should see good momentum in it, try to accumulate more when in comes near to 384-386. Probability is high we will see momentum in it. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
NSE:PFCLong
by TraderRahulPal
3
Effective inefficiencyStop-Loss. This combination of words sounds like a magic spell for impatient investors. It's really challenging to watch your account get smaller and smaller. That's why people came up with this magic amulet. Go to the market, don't be afraid, just put it on. Let your profits run, but limit your losses - place a Stop-Loss order. Its design is simple: when the paper loss reaches the amount agreed upon with you in advance, your position will be closed. The paper loss will become real. And here I have a question: “ Does this invention stop the loss? ” It seems that on the contrary - you take it with you. Then it is not a Stop-Loss, but a Take-Loss. This will be more honest, but let's continue with the classic name. Another thing that always bothered me was that everyone has their own Stop-Loss. For example, if a company shows a loss, I can find out about it from the reports. Its meaning is the same for everyone and does not depend on those who look at it. With Stop-Loss, it's different. As many people as there are Stop-Losses. There is a lot of subjectivity in it. For adherents of fundamental analysis, all this looks very strange. I cannot agree that I spent time researching a company, became convinced of the strength of its business, and then simply quoted a price at which I would lock in my loss. I don't think Benjamin Graham would approve either. He knew better than anyone that the market loved to show off its madness when it came to stock prices. So Stop-Loss is part of this madness? Not quite so. There are many strategies that do not rely on fundamental analysis. They live by their own principles, where Stop-Loss plays a key role. Based on its size relative to the expected profit, these strategies can be divided into three types. Stop-Loss is approximately equal to the expected profit size This includes high-frequency strategies of traders who make numerous trades during the day. These can be manual or automated operations. Here we are talking about the advantages that a trader seeks to gain, thanks to modern technical means, complex calculations or simply intuition. In such strategies, it is critical to have favorable commission conditions so as not to give up all the profits to maintaining the infrastructure. The size of profit and loss per trade is approximately equal and insignificant in relation to the size of the account. The main expectation of a trader is to make more positive trades than negative ones. Stop-Loss is several times less than the expected profit The second type includes strategies based on technical analysis. The number of transactions here is significantly less than in the strategies of the first type. The idea is to open an interesting position that will show enough profit to cover several losses. This could be trading using chart patterns, wave analysis, candlestick analysis. You can also add buyers of classic options here. Stop-Loss is an order of magnitude greater than the expected profit The third type includes arbitrage strategies, selling volatility. The idea behind such strategies is to generate a constant, close to fixed, income due to statistically stable patterns or extreme price differences. But there is also a downside to the coin - a significant Stop-Loss size. If the system breaks down, the resulting loss can cover all the earned profit at once. It's like a deposit in a dodgy bank - the interest rate is great, but there's also a risk of bankruptcy. Reflecting on these three groups, I formulated the following postulate: “ In an efficient market, the most efficient strategies will show a zero financial result with a pre-determined profit to loss ratio ”. Let's take this postulate apart piece by piece. What does efficient market mean? It is a stock market where most participants instantly receive information about the assets in question and immediately decide to place, cancel or modify their order. In other words, in such a market, there is no lag between the appearance of information and the reaction to it. It should be said that thanks to the development of telecommunications and information technologies, modern stock markets have significantly improved their efficiency and continue to do so. What is an effective strategy ? This is a strategy that does not bring losses. Profit to loss ratio is the result of profitable trades divided by the result of losing trades in the chosen strategy, considering commissions. So, according to the postulate, one can know in advance what this ratio will be for the most effective strategy in an effective market. In this case, the financial result for any such strategy will be zero. The formula for calculating the profit to loss ratio according to the postulate: Profit : Loss ratio = %L / (100% - %L) Where %L is the percentage of losing trades in the strategy. Below is a graph of the different ratios of the most efficient strategy in an efficient market. For example, if your strategy has 60% losing trades, then with a profit to loss ratio of 1.5:1, your financial result will be zero. In this example, to start making money, you need to either reduce the percentage of losing trades (<60%) with a ratio of 1.5:1, or increase the ratio (>1.5), while maintaining the percentage of losing trades (60%). With such improvements, your point will be below the orange line - this is the inefficient market space. In this zone, it is not about your strategy becoming more efficient, you have simply found inefficiencies in the market itself. Any point above the efficient market line is an inefficient strategy . It is the opposite of an effective strategy, meaning it results in an overall loss. Moreover, an inefficient strategy in an efficient market makes the market itself inefficient , which creates profitable opportunities for efficient strategies in an inefficient market. It sounds complicated, but these words contain an important meaning - if someone loses, then someone will definitely find. Thus, there is an efficient market line, a zone of efficient strategies in an inefficient market, and a zone of inefficient strategies. In reality, if we mark a point on this chart at a certain time interval, we will get rather a cloud of points, which can be located anywhere and, for example, cross the efficient market line and both zones at the same time. This is due to the constant changes that occur in the market. It is an entity that evolves together with all participants. What was effective suddenly becomes ineffective and vice versa. For this reason, I formulated another postulate: “ Any market participant strives for the effectiveness of his strategy, and the market strives for its own effectiveness, and when this is achieved, the financial result of the strategy will become zero ”. In other words, the efficient market line has a strong gravity that, like a magnet, attracts everything that is above and below it. However, I doubt that absolute efficiency will be achieved in the near future. This requires that all market participants have equally fast access to information and respond to it effectively. Moreover, many traders and investors, including myself, have a strong interest in the market being inefficient. Just like we want gravity to be strong enough that we don't fly off into space from our couches, but gentle enough that we can visit the refrigerator. This limits or delays the transfer of information to each other. Returning to the topic of Stop-Loss, one should pay attention to another pattern that follows from the postulates of market efficiency. Below, on the graph (red line), you can see how much the loss to profit ratio changes depending on the percentage of losing trades in the strategy. For me, the values located on the red line are the mathematical expectation associated with the size of the loss in an effective strategy in an effective market. In other words, those who have a small percentage of losing trades in their strategy should be on guard. The potential loss in such strategies can be several times higher than the accumulated profit. In the case of strategies with a high percentage of losing trades, most of the risk has already been realized, so the potential loss relative to the profit is small. As for my attitude towards Stop-Loss, I do not use it in my stock market investing strategy. That is, I don’t know in advance at what price I will close the position. This is because I treat buying shares as participating in a business. I cannot accept that when crazy Mr. Market knocks on my door and offers a strange price, I will immediately sell him my shares. Rather, I would ask myself, “ How efficient is the market right now and should I buy more shares at this price? ” My decision to sell should be motivated not only by the price but also by the fundamental reasons for the decline. For me, the main criterion for closing a position is the company's profitability - a metric that is the same for everyone who looks at it. If a business stops being profitable, that's a red flag. In this case, the time the company has been in a loss-making state and the size of the losses are considered. Even a great company can have a bad quarter for one reason or another. In my opinion, the main work with risks should take place before the company gets into the portfolio, and not after the position is opened. Often it doesn't even involve fundamental business analysis. Here are four things I'm talking about: - Diversification. Distribution of investments among many companies. - Gradually gaining position. Buying stocks within a range of prices, rather than at one desired price. - Prioritization of sectors. For me, sectors of stable consumer demand always have a higher priority than others. - No leverage. I propose to examine the last point separately. The thing is that the broker who lends you money is absolutely right to be afraid that you won’t pay it back. For this reason, each time he calculates how much his loan is secured by your money and the current value of the shares (that is, the value that is currently on the market). Once this collateral is not enough, you will receive a so-called margin call . This is a requirement to fund an account to secure a loan. If you fail to do this, part of your position will be forcibly closed. Unfortunately, no one will listen to the excuse that this company is making a profit and the market is insane. The broker will simply give you a Stop-Loss. Therefore, leverage, by its definition, cannot be used in my investment strategy. In conclusion of this article, I would like to say that the market, as a social phenomenon, contains a great paradox. On the one hand, we have a natural desire for it to be ineffective, on the other hand, we are all working on its effectiveness. It turns out that the income we take from the market is payment for this work. At the same time, our loss can be represented as the salary that we personally pay to other market participants for their efficiency. I don't know about you, but this understanding seems beautiful to me.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Be_Capy
2
Fundamental Growth Stocks vs Dividend Stocks Which Builds WealthHello Traders! Today, let’s dive into the debate of Growth Stocks vs. Dividend Stocks . Both strategies can build wealth, but they cater to different goals and risk appetites. Let’s explore how to choose the right approach for your portfolio. Growth Stocks: The Path to High Returns Growth stocks are all about capital appreciation. These companies reinvest their profits to fuel expansion, innovation, and market dominance. Here’s why they matter: High Growth Potential: Companies like Tata Motors (TATAMOTORS) , Infosys (INFY) , and Zomato (ZOMATO) focus on scaling their business, offering significant upside. Volatility: Growth stocks can be more volatile, making them suitable for risk-tolerant investors. Long-Term Wealth: Ideal for those with a long investment horizon who can wait for compounding returns. Dividend Stocks: The Steady Income Generators Dividend stocks are known for providing regular income. These companies share their profits with shareholders through consistent payouts. Here’s why they stand out: Stable Income: Companies like Hindustan Unilever (HINDUNILVR) , ITC (ITC) , and Coal India (COALINDIA) offer reliable dividends. Lower Risk: Dividend stocks are generally less volatile, making them safer for conservative investors. Wealth Preservation: Perfect for those seeking steady income and capital preservation. Striking the Balance: Growth + Dividends The best portfolios often combine both strategies. Here’s how to strike the right balance: Use Growth Stocks for long-term wealth creation. Rely on Dividend Stocks for steady income and stability. Diversify across sectors to reduce risk and maximize returns. Conclusion: Choose What Fits Your Goals Whether you prefer the high-growth potential of Growth Stocks or the steady income from Dividend Stocks , the key is aligning your strategy with your financial goals and risk tolerance. What’s your preference? Are you a growth investor, a dividend seeker, or a mix of both? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
DIIs Buying Every Day: What They Are Buying in a Falling Market?Hello Traders! In today's post, let's talk about an interesting phenomenon in the Indian stock market. Despite the market showing signs of falling , we are consistently seeing DIIs (Domestic Institutional Investors) buying in large quantities every day, with numbers around 3,000-4,000 crores daily. So, what does this tell us? Why are DIIs continuing to buy despite the market's decline? Key Points to Understand: DIIs are investing heavily: While retail investors and FIIs may be cautious or pulling back, DIIs are buying, possibly indicating that they believe the current market price is undervalued. Tracking their moves: To understand where the money is flowing, we need to track the stocks that DIIs are buying. Are they focusing on large-cap stocks, sectors with growth potential, or defensive sectors? Possible market confidence: This continuous buying might signal confidence from domestic institutions, showing they believe in the long-term growth potential despite short-term volatility. What does this mean for us?: As retail traders, it’s crucial to track DII buying patterns to align our strategies with their actions. If DIIs are buying into a stock or sector, it could be a strong signal that it’s worth considering for your portfolio. How to Track DII Purchases: Follow the DII data: Most financial platforms and stock market websites show DII buying/selling data regularly. Look for trends: If the same stocks are being purchased consistently, there could be something significant happening in those companies. Be patient: Even if the market seems to be in a downtrend, the sustained buying by DIIs can provide confidence for long-term investors. Conclusion: DIIs are not just following the market, they are actively buying in the face of adversity, and this can be a crucial indicator of future market movement. Keep an eye on what they are buying every day, and align your strategies accordingly. Remember, they are in the market for the long-term, and if they believe in it, we should too.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
6
Axis Bank - Reversal from Support? Bullish Continuation Ahead!Axis Bank weekly chart shows a potential reversal setup as it tests key support levels: the lower boundary of an ascending channel and the 200-week EMA. If bullish confirmation emerges, this could present an excellent swing trade opportunity. Let me know your thoughts in the comments! #AXISBANK #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading" Key Observations: 1. Ascending Channel Support: - The price is currently testing the **lower boundary of the ascending channel**, which has acted as dynamic support since 2020. 2. 200-Week EMA Support: - The **200-week EMA is providing additional support, reinforcing the likelihood of a bounce from this level. 3. Bullish Structure Intact: - Despite the recent correction, the overall trend remains bullish as long as the price respects the channel's lower boundary. 5. **Upside Potential**: - If the reversal materializes, the price could aim for the midline of the channel and eventually retest the upper boundary. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:AXISBANKLong
by PhD_Swingtrader
The Inside Out InvestorThere is a common misconception that investing in stocks is always stressful and emotionally overwhelming. Many people think that this activity is only available to extremely resilient people or crazy people. In fact, if you know the answers to three key questions, investing becomes a rather boring activity. Let me remind you of them below: 1. Which stocks to choose? 2. At what price should the trade be made? 3. In what volume? As for me, most of the time, I'm just in waiting mode. First, I wait for the company's business to start showing sustainable growth dynamics in profits and other fundamental indicators. Then, I wait for a sell-off of strong company shares at unreasonably low prices. Of course, this requires a lot of patience and a positive outlook on the future. That's why I believe that being young is one of the key advantages of being a beginner investor. The younger you are, the more time you have to wait. However, we still have to get to this boring state. And if you've embarked on this long journey, expect to encounter many emotions that will test your strength. To help me understand them, I came up with the following map. Next I will comment on each of its elements from left to right. Free Cash horizontal line (from 0% to 100%) - X axis When you first open and fund a brokerage account, your Free Cash is equal to 100% of the account. Then it will gradually decrease as you buy shares. If Free Cash is 0%, then all your money in the account was invested in shares. In short, it is a scale of how much your portfolio is loaded with stocks. Vertical line Alpha - Y axis Alpha is the ratio of the change in your portfolio to the change in an alternative portfolio that you do not own but use as a reference (in other words, a benchmark). For example, such a benchmark could be an ETF (exchange-traded fund) on the S&P500 index if you invest in wide US market stocks. Buying an ETF does not require any effort on your part as a manager, so it is useful to compare the performance of such an asset with the performance of your portfolio and calculate Alpha. In this example, it is the ratio of your portfolio's return to the return of the S&P 500 ETF. At the level where Alpha is zero, there is a horizontal Free Cash line. Above this line is positive Alpha (in which case you are outperforming the broader market), below zero is negative Alpha (in which case your portfolio is outperforming the benchmark). Let me clarify that the portfolio yield includes the financial result for both open and closed positions. Fear of the button This is the emotion that blocks the sending of an order to buy shares. Being captivated by this emotion, you will be afraid to press this button, realizing that investing in shares does not guarantee a positive result at all. In other words, you may lose some of your money irretrievably. This fear is absolutely justified. If you feel this way, consider the size of your stock investment account and the percentage amount you are willing to lose. Remember to diversify your portfolio. If you can't find a balance between account size, acceptable loss, and diversification, don't press the button. Come back to her when you're ready. Enthusiasm At this stage, you have a high share of Free Cash, and you also have your first open positions in stocks. Your Alpha is positive. You are not afraid to press the button, but there is a certain excitement about the future result. The state of enthusiasm is quite fragile and can quickly turn into a state of FOMO if Alpha moves into the negative zone. Therefore, it is critical to continue learning the chosen strategy at this stage. A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step. FOMO FOMO is a common acronym used to describe a psychological condition known as fear of missing out. In the stock market, this manifests itself as fear of missing out. This condition is typical for a portfolio with a high proportion of Free Cash and negative Alpha. As the benchmark's return outpaces your portfolio's return, you will be in a nervous state. The main worry will be that you didn't buy the stocks that are currently the growth leaders. You will be tempted to deviate from your chosen strategy and take a chance on buying something on the off chance. To get rid of this condition, you need to understand that the stock market has existed for hundreds of years, and thousands of companies trade on it. Every year, new companies emerge, as well as new investment opportunities. Remind yourself that you are not here for one million dollar deal, but for systematic work with opportunities that will always be there. Zen The most desirable state of an investor is when he understands all the details of the chosen strategy and has effective experience in its application. This is expressed in positive Alpha and excellent mood. Taking the time to manage your portfolio, developing habits and a disciplined approach will bring satisfaction and the feeling that you are on the right track. At this stage, it is important to maintain this state, and not to chase after thrills. Disappointment This stage is a mirror of the Zen state. It can develop from the FOMO stage, especially if you break your own rules and invest on luck. It can also be caused by a sharp deterioration in the condition of a portfolio, which was doing well in the Zen state. If everything is clear in the first case, and you just need to stop acting weird , then in the second situation you should remember why you ended up in a state of Zen. Investments are always a series of profitable and unprofitable trades. However, losing trades cannot be considered a failure if they were made in accordance with the principles of the chosen strategy. Just keep following the accepted rules to win in the long run. Also remember that Mr. Market is crazy enough to offer prices that seem absurd to you. Yes, this can negatively affect your Alpha, but at the same time provide opportunities to open new positions according to the chosen strategy. Euphoria Another way out of the Zen state is called Euphoria. This is typical dizziness from success. At this stage you have little Free Cash, a large share of stocks in your portfolio and phenomenally positive Alpha. You feel like a king and lose your composure. That is why this stage is marked in red. In a state of euphoria, you may feel like everything you touch turns to gold. You feel the desire to take a risk and play for luck. You don't want to close positions with good profits. Furthermore, you think you can close at the highs and make even more money. You are deviating from the chosen strategy, which is fraught with major negative consequences. It only takes a few non-systemic decisions to push your Alpha into the negative zone and find yourself in a state of disappointment. If your ego doesn't stop there, the decline may continue. Tilt A prolonged state of disappointment or a rapid fall of Alpha from the Euphoria stage can lead to the most negative psycho-emotional state called Tilt. This term is widely used in the game of poker, but can also be used in investments. While in this state, the investor does everything out of strategy, his actions are chaotic and in many ways aggressive. He thinks the stock market owes him something. The investor cannot stop his irrational actions, trying to regain his former success or get out of a series of failures in the shortest possible time. This usually ends in big losses. It is better to inform your loved ones in advance that such a condition exists. Don't be embarrassed by this, even if you think you are immune to such situations. A person in a state of tilt withdraws into himself and acts in a state of affect. Therefore, it is significant to bring him out of this state and show that the outside world exists and has its own unique value. Now let's talk about your expectations, as they largely determine your attitude towards investing. Never turn your positive expectations into a benchmark. The stock market is an element that is absolutely indifferent to our forecasts. Even strong companies can fall in price if there is a shortage of liquidity in the market. In times of crisis, everyone suffers, but the most prepared suffer the least. Therefore, the main task of a smart investor is to work on himself until the moment he presses the coveted button. There will always be a chance to do this. As I said, the market will not disappear tomorrow. But to use this chance wisely, you need to be prepared. This means that you should have an answer to all three questions above. Then you will definitely catch your Zen.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Be_Capy
Options Trading vs. Stock Trading: Which is Right for You?Hello Traders! In today’s post, we’re going to compare Options Trading vs. Stock Trading. Both strategies can be profitable, but they come with different risk profiles, time commitments, and potential for returns. Let’s dive into the key differences and help you decide which trading method aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Stock Trading: The Classic Approach Stock trading is the act of buying and selling stocks to capitalize on price movements. As an investor, you own a share of the company and benefit from its growth or dividends over time. Stock trading is widely recognized as the foundation of the market and remains one of the most common forms of trading. Key Characteristics of Stock Trading: Long-Term Investment Strategy: Stock traders tend to hold their positions for a longer duration, from weeks to years. Ownership of the Asset: When you buy stocks, you own a part of the company, which may yield dividends or appreciate over time. Moderate Risk and Return: Stock trading typically provides consistent, moderate returns , but the risks are lower compared to options. Requires Patience: Stock trading is ideal for those who are patient and willing to hold onto their investments through market fluctuations. Options Trading: Leverage and Flexibility Options trading involves buying or selling options contracts, which give you the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. It offers greater leverage, meaning you can control more stock with less capital. However, this leverage comes with higher risk. Key Characteristics of Options Trading: Leverage Potential: Options allow you to control larger positions with a smaller initial investment. Time Sensitivity: Options have expiration dates, which means the price movement must happen within a limited time frame. Higher Risk, Higher Reward: With leverage, options can yield higher profits, but the potential for loss is also greater, especially when options expire worthless. Flexibility in Strategy: Options offer a range of strategies, including covered calls, straddles, and spreads , that can help manage risk and maximize profit. Active Management Required: Options traders need to monitor their positions frequently due to the time-sensitive nature of the trades. Which Is Better? Stock Trading or Options Trading? Both strategies have their advantages depending on your goals and trading style. Here’s a comparison: Stock Trading: Ideal for Long-Term Investors: Stock trading is suitable for traders looking for steady returns over time with relatively low risk. Less Complexity: Stock trading is simpler and easier to understand compared to options, making it more accessible for beginners. Lower Risk per Trade: The risk is limited to the amount invested in the stock, and the price movement is easier to predict. Options Trading: Higher Potential Returns in a Shorter Time Frame: Options provide the ability to profit from short-term price movements with higher leverage , leading to potentially higher returns. Requires Skill and Active Management: Options require more expertise and constant monitoring to manage risk and maximize returns. Higher Risk, Higher Reward: While the potential for returns is greater, options trading involves a higher level of risk, and you could lose your entire investment. Conclusion: Which is Right for You? Choosing between options trading and stock trading depends on your personal trading goals, risk tolerance, and time availability. Stock trading is ideal if you want to take a long-term approach, avoid complexity, and hold your positions for steady, moderate growth. Options trading is for those who want to utilize leverage for potentially higher returns and are willing to actively manage their trades. What’s your trading preference? Are you more inclined towards stock trading or options trading ? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
1
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