Get started

Commodities

Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically... The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset. In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook. Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
4
Gold Rebounds: Focus on 2,546 Support & Russia-Ukraine TensionsGold prices rose on Monday (November 18) after six consecutive losing sessions as the rally in the USD paused and escalating uncertainty over the Russia-Ukraine conflict spurred safe-haven demand. Currently, gold is recovering after successfully testing strong support at $2,546, where the long-term uptrend intersects with potential buying zones. This positive signal reflects strong buying momentum, pushing prices back towards $2,620, near the EMA 34 and EMA 89, key dynamic resistances. If prices break above the $2,620 level, the next target could be the resistance zone at $2,791, where significant selling pressure awaits. With the Russia-Ukraine tensions showing no signs of de-escalating, gold prices could climb even higher in the future. Traders should closely monitor developments in this situation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Vanna-Cris
Strong Recovery After Prolonged DowntrendGold prices have recovered strongly to $2,610/ounce in today's trading session, up $48 in just the past 24 hours. This move shows increased bottom-fishing demand after the precious metal fell a total of more than $120/ounce in the previous five trading sessions. Technical Analysis Looking at the gold price chart, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 still show a medium-term downtrend. However, the current strong bullish candle is challenging these dynamic resistance levels. If gold continues to surpass $2,620, the uptrend could extend to the resistance zone near $2,650. On the contrary, if it fails to stay above $2,600, the possibility of a reversal back to the support zone of $2,560 is quite high. Fundamentals Support Geopolitical situation: Escalating tensions in the Ukraine region with the participation of long-range weapons from the US and military moves from Russia and North Korea have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Bullish forecast: A report from Goldman Sachs with a forecast of gold prices reaching $3,000/ounce by the end of 2025 is creating positive sentiment for the market. Bargain hunting demand: After a series of sharp declines, large financial institutions have started to increase purchases, pushing gold prices up rapidly. Review Based on the above factors, I expect gold prices to retest the important resistance zone at $2,650 in the short term. However, it is necessary to closely monitor the market's reaction at the $2,620 area. If the breakout fails, selling pressure may reappear.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold-> Buyer Back Yet?After suffering significant losses last week, gold has regained its recovery momentum and is trading positively above $2,600 on Monday. The fundamental backdrop supports this recovery. Key resistance levels at $2,518 and $2,628 now divide the market into two distinct zones. Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting moves from several Fed officials this week to gain further insights into the U.S. interest rate trajectory. The most likely scenario at the moment is a slight recovery in gold prices following the recent steep sell-off, with expectations for gold to climb higher after several reversals in the USD. In the medium term, bulls need to reassess U.S. policy planning in December, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in January. This has not been fully priced into the market, so any adjustments could pose challenges for gold. Technically, since the market opened, prices have climbed considerably, increasing the likelihood of resistance capping further upward movement. A false breakout at $2,589 and subsequent consolidation below this zone would strengthen selling pressure. However, there is potential for a retest of $2,618 (Order Block). Similarly, a failed breakout could trigger selling momentum. But if the fundamentals align strongly in favor of gold, the market may have a chance to shift the local trend from the $2,618 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
Gold Trading Strategy for 20th November 2024Gold Trading Signal Current Price: ₹2632.20 Trading Levels: Buy Above: ₹2640 Trigger a long position when the price closes above ₹2640 on a 1-hour candle. Resistance Levels: ₹2665 (Initial Resistance) ₹2693 (Next Resistance) Sell Below: ₹2620 Trigger a short position when the price closes below ₹2620 on a 1-hour candle. Support Levels: ₹2598 (Initial Support) ₹2585 (Next Support) Key Notes: Monitor price action carefully around the buy and sell levels. Ensure proper risk management by setting stop-loss orders slightly above or below resistance and support levels, respectively. Consider additional confirmations such as volume or RSI divergences before entering trades. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Trading in the financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Gold is under pullback : Read my last postAs expected gold is finally under a pullback wave and price opened with a gap , this gap is now going to act as good high volume support area(2560-70). At the time of writing this post price is facing resistance on weekly pivot(2595) and bulls need to re-claim this level on H4 to see higher levels , First resistance (Target in case of buy) that we have to watch is area at 2630-40(bearish Imbalance) and the final resistance zone as per fib is 2663-93 from where we can re load the sell for target 2530 area again. As of now I am expecting continuation in pullback (Bullish) and my first target will be 2630 and for sell I will wait confirmation on H4 or daily Time frame.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Key Levels and $65 Accumulation StrategyThe WTI Crude Oil chart highlights a long-term bearish trend, with price testing key support and resistance zones. Here's a concise breakdown: Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: $65.00 (immediate), $61.52, $56.97, $55.00, $51.76, $42.87. Resistance Levels: $72.80, $78.44, $83.64, $93.40. Current Opportunity for Swing Trade Accumulate near $65.00 with a stop-loss slightly below $65.00. Targets: $69.00, $72.80, $78.44. Trade Setups Bullish: Enter on $65.00 support bounce or breakout above $72.80. Bearish: Short on rejection at $72.80 or breakdown below $65.00. Market Outlook Bearish Bias: Break below $65.00 could lead to $61.52 or $56.97. Bullish Reversal: Break above $72.80 targets $78.44 and beyond.
TVC:USOILLong
by ayusharya_001
Crude Oil Futures: Key Levels and Scalp Trade StrategiesThe daily chart of Light Crude Oil Futures (NYMEX) indicates a long-term bearish trend, with key levels offering opportunities for short-term scalp trades. Key Observations: Downtrend Resistance: The yellow trendline starting from 2022 highs continues to cap upward movements. Support Zone: $66.40 is a critical level where buyers repeatedly defend, creating a strong price floor. Resistance Levels: $72.58, $77.20, and $84.20 serve as major hurdles for upward price action. Volume: No significant volume spikes currently, but monitor closely for breakout confirmation. Scalp Trading Opportunities: 1. Long Trade: Entry: Near $66.40 support on a bounce. Targets: $69.00 (nearest resistance) and $72.58. Stop-Loss: Below $65.90. Why? Buyers consistently hold this level, making it ideal for quick upward moves. 2. Short Trade: Entry: Near $72.58 resistance after a rejection. Targets: $69.00 and $66.40. Stop-Loss: Above $73.50. Why? Sellers dominate this zone, offering quick pullback opportunities. Key Points to Watch: Bearish Breakout: A high-volume breakdown below $66.40 could send prices to $60 or lower. Bullish Reversal: Breaking the yellow trendline and $77.20 resistance could spark a rally toward $84.20. Volume Confirmation: Significant volume spikes near key levels (support or resistance) often confirm a breakout or rejection.
NYMEX:CL1!
by ayusharya_001
Gold in Bears' ControlI am watching the recovery in gold, currently trading around $2,586/oz. With the USD rising sharply after President-elect Donald Trump's victory and expectations of higher inflation, the Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates. This is creating significant pressure, making it difficult for gold to continue to break above the 34-EMA and 89-EMA. In addition, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about not being in a hurry to cut interest rates further reinforced the USD's bullish momentum and reduced the appeal of gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia remain a slight support factor for the precious metal's safe-haven status. Personal view Key resistance: $2,600–$2,625, which the price needs to break above to generate upside momentum. Potential support: $2,550, which is an important area I will wait to test. If the price fails to surpass $2,600, I believe there is a high possibility of a further decline to $2,550, consistent with the current market scenario. I will prioritize a short-term selling strategy in the resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Update latest gold price today !Hello everyone! Gold has been in a steady decline since the start of the week, currently sitting at 2561, with strong indications that this downtrend may persist. The key 2550 level is still fiercely contested, keeping traders on edge. The market remains clouded with apprehension, especially with recent developments in the U.S. following Donald Trump's election as president. This lingering uncertainty may continue to weigh heavily on gold. At the moment, all attention is focused on the upcoming October Producer Price Index (PPI) report in the U.S. Analysts are forecasting a year-over-year increase of 2.3% for October, a notable jump from September's 1.8%. If both the CPI and PPI show further inflationary pressure, the Federal Reserve could be pushed to raise interest rates, which could apply even more pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar would make gold trading and holding costs more expensive, potentially intensifying the sell-off. Technically speaking, the battle at 2550 is far from over, and there’s a strong likelihood of a brief pullback before continuing the downward trend. This could mean a possible retest of the 2600-2580 resistance zone before resuming its decline. Chart patterns suggest that if the correction unfolds as anticipated—possibly in line with an Elliott wave impulse—the target could be around 2485, a drop of over 1000 pips from the resistance level. Stay tuned for more developments as this situation unfolds!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
2
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends! Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early this week, reaching the critical $2,600 mark and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. This rally has been fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions as the U.S. authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russia. However, the market remains under significant pressure. The USD and bond yields continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance. Economic struggles in Europe are weakening the euro, driving demand for the USD and further weighing on gold. This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued with limited major economic data releases. Key areas to watch include U.S. housing data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and comments from Federal Reserve officials. Gold is currently testing the critical resistance zone at $2,600–$2,589. A false breakout here could trigger strong selling, reinforcing bearish momentum. Conversely, a modest pullback followed by a decline to $2,546 would solidify a clearer downtrend. Keep a close watch!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
Natural Gas Futures Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Above 250 INRThis chart shows the weekly price action for Natural Gas Futures on the MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange) with some key technical indicators: Analysis: Trendline Breakout: The price has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential bullish reversal. A breakout from this pattern often leads to further upward movement, especially if it’s supported by strong volume. Key Resistance Levels: With the price near 250, it’s approaching the next resistance levels at approximately 254 and 278. If these levels are surpassed, the next target could be around 305 INR/MMBtu. Volume Confirmation: The volume is relatively strong, adding credibility to the breakout. A sustained increase in volume would reinforce the bullish outlook. Trade Plan for Natural Gas Futures: Entry: Enter around 250 INR after the breakout confirmation. Targets: Target 1: 278 INR Target 2: 305 INR Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below 240 INR to limit downside risk. Risk Management: Consider booking partial profits at 278 INR and trail stop to breakeven. This trade plan is built on the breakout with targets at 278 INR and 305 INR, while managing risk with a stop loss below 240 INR. Watch for volume to confirm momentum, and adjust your stop or book profits as key levels are reached.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by ayusharya_001
Gold under Non stop selling pressure Gold is under Non stop selling pressure and now reaching the support area as per daily TF , on H1 gold is forming a falling wedge pattern , and for any pullback price need to breakout the trendline from higher side , On Higher TF there is no good indication of any pullback as of now but I think every DIP is a buying opportunities as at present I am not expecting a bearish reversal for a longer period. First support area is at 2530-55 area. Second Support area is at 2500-25 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold prices fall sharply due to pressure from USD World gold prices are under downward pressure in the context of a stronger USD and rising US bond yields. The US CPI index in October increased by 0.2%, pushing inflation in the year to 2.6% as expected. This, along with the possibility of new taxes from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump, is making investors believe that the FED may pause interest rate cuts, leading to gold prices falling for four consecutive sessions. On the morning of November 14, the world gold price fell to 2,573 USD/ounce, down 46 USD from the previous session's high of 2,619 USD/ounce. On the daily chart, the gold price has broken the uptrend channel and is currently continuing to decline. The next support levels are at 2,492 USD and 2,444 USD/ounce. If the price holds above this support level, a short-term recovery may occur. However, if the price continues to break these levels, the downtrend is likely to continue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
Gold Hits 7-Week Low Amid Rising Yields and Dollar PressureGold prices are under pressure as the US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise to 4.5%, and demand for gold from China declines. In the recent trading session, gold prices fluctuated sharply, falling to a 7-week low of $2,599/ounce. Market sentiment is gradually losing confidence in gold, with many investors selling off to preserve capital. In addition, US stocks also weakened as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both fell, adding more pressure to gold. If factors such as the US dollar do not decrease and gold demand does not recover, the possibility of gold prices continuing to decline is still very high in the short term. In the short term, gold prices are likely to continue to be under downward pressure if the US dollar maintains its strength and US bond yields remain high. The nearest important support level could be the $2,580/ounce area. If the price breaks this level, the downtrend could extend to lower levels, towards the $2,550 area. Conversely, if there is significant buying pressure, gold could recover slightly, but the possibility of maintaining a strong upward momentum is low as economic factors remain unfavorable for this precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Maria_aaa
OSZAR »