Institutional Trading part 4Institutional trading consists of the purchase and sale of financial assets by institutions through their traders. This definition of institutional trading applies to institutional equity trading, institutional stock trading, institutional options trading - any subcategory.
Chart Patterns
Institutional TradingInstitutional trading involves the buying and selling of financial assets, like stocks and bonds, by large financial institutions. These institutions, such as hedge funds, mutual funds, and pension funds, manage money on behalf of others and trade in significant volumes, potentially influencing market prices. They often require specialized services and technology to execute large trades.
Institutional Trading part 5Institutional traders are defined as traders who engage in the buying and selling of securities for the accounts that they manage for any institution or a group of people. Some of the most common examples of institutional traders are mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, and exchange-traded funds. These institutional traders are capable of investing in securities that are generally not available for retail traders. These securities include both swaps and forwards
Solar Industry (NSE) at Make-or-Break Level ? NSE:SOLARINDS
Summary:
📈 Key Levels
Breakout: Cleared resistance at 13,300 with a strong bullish engulfing candle.
Pattern: Bullish Flag & Pole (pole size: 3,777.80 points) suggests a measured move target of 17,077.80.
Trend: Price above 20/50/200 EMAs on daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
Risk: Overbought RSI (14) and bearish MACD crossover hint at potential consolidation.
________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Analysis
1. Bullish Structure Confirmed 🚩
Bullish Engulfing Candle : Broke above critical resistance at 13,300 (near all-time high), signaling bullish momentum.
Flag & Pole Pattern: The "pole" (3,777.80-point rally) followed by a consolidation "flag" suggests a potential repeat of the uptrend post-breakout. Historical symmetry often sees targets equal to pole size.
2. Trend Alignment ✅
Multi-Timeframe Support: Price trades above all key EMAs (20, 50, 200) on daily, weekly, and monthly charts, confirming a strong bullish bias.
3. Divergence Alert ⚠️
RSI (14): Overbought at 70+ warns of short-term exhaustion.
MACD: Bearish crossover on daily charts adds caution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trade Setup
Entry Zone:
Aggressive: Current price (above 13,300).
Conservative: Retest of 13,300 as support.
Targets: 17,077.80 (measured move: 13,300 + 3,777.80).
Stop Loss: 13,000 (low of the bullish engulfing candle) or 12,640 (prior swing low) for wider risk tolerance.
Risk Management
Position Size: Risk ≤1-2% of capital.
Confirmation: Watch for a daily close below 13,000 to invalidate the setup.
Conclusion
The Solar Industry (NSE) is at a critical juncture: bullish momentum clashes with overbought signals. While the Flag & Pole pattern and EMA alignment favor a rally to 17,077+, traders must respect the RSI/MACD divergence. A decisive hold above 13,300 could fuel the next leg up, but a breakdown below 13,000 may trigger profit-taking.
Key Action: Monitor price action above 13,300 for confirmation!
📊 Chart Attached | Like/Follow for updates!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis.
#NSE #SolarStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutAlert
Short Sunpharma on technical analysis till 1680Siunpharma looks week in daily chart and seems it can fall 1680 zone as per price support on that area where bulls vcan activate and bears will close their position.
📈 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages: Strong Sell
Technical Indicators: Strong Sell
RSI (14): 31.939 (Approaching oversold territory)
MACD (12,26): -13.57 (Bearish)
ADX (14): 30.04 (Indicates trend strength)
Williams %R: -97.69 (Oversold)
🔍 Demand & Resistance Zones
Demand Zone: ₹1,840–₹1,850
Sellers' Liquidity Zone: ₹1,920
Major Resistance: ₹1,960 (All-time high on Sep 30, 2024)
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: Consider long positions near ₹1,850 or upon breakout above ₹1,860
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,920
Target 2: ₹1,960
Stop-Loss: Below ₹1,820
Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
🧠 Fundamental Insights
Analyst Consensus: Buy
12-Month Price Target: Average ₹2,051.84 (Upside of ~14.98%)
EPS Growth Forecast: 12.3% per annum
Revenue Growth Forecast: 9.8% per annum
Return on Equity Forecast: 16.9% over 3 years
🧬 Recent Developments
Acquisition: Acquired Checkpoint Therapeutics for $355 million in March 2025, enhancing oncology portfolio
Earnings Beat: Q3 FY25 EPS of ₹13.40 vs. estimate of ₹11.98; Revenue of ₹136.75B vs. estimate of ₹133.98B
EPL - Breakout Post Good Q4NSE:EPL Made Beautiful Chart Structure today after posting good Q4 Results with Good Price and Volume action.
Price Action Analysis:
Resistance Breakout:
1. Primary Resistance Break: The stock has successfully broken above the well-defined resistance zone at ₹203-205 (lower red rectangle), which had contained price movements since mid-April.
2. Approaching Major Resistance: With today's 4.57% gain, EPL is now testing a critical longer-term resistance level at ₹210-213 (upper red rectangle), which has capped prices since late February after a sharp decline from the ₹250+ level.
3. Base Formation: After hitting lows around ₹183 in early April, the stock has formed a constructive base pattern with higher lows, suggesting accumulation and buying support at progressively higher levels.
Volume Analysis:
Today's volume characteristics strongly support the bullish case:
- Volume of 3.34M shares is significantly above the 20-day average of 895.96K (nearly 4x normal volume)
- The volume spike coincides perfectly with the upside breakout
- Prior consolidation showed decreasing volume, typically a precursor to a volume-supported breakout
- The recent accumulation phase (late April to early May) displayed positive volume patterns
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Key Resistance Levels:
1. Immediate Resistance: ₹210-213 (upper red rectangle - critical level being tested now)
2. Intermediate Resistance: ₹225 (reaction high from mid-February)
3. Major Resistance: ₹250-255 (February high)
Key Support Levels:
1. New Support: ₹203-205 (previous resistance now converted to support)
2. Secondary Support: ₹195-198 (consolidation range from late April)
3. Strong Support: ₹183-185 (April lows and beginning of current base)
Technical Patterns:
1. Double Bottom: The March and April lows near ₹183-190 formed a double bottom pattern, typically a reversal signal.
2. Range Breakout: Today's move represents a clear breakout from the April-May trading range.
Volume Confirmation:
The volume trend provides strong confirmation:
- Clear volume divergence during the April bottom (decreasing volume on downmoves)
- Increasing volume during recovery phases
- Today's substantial volume spike on breakout (3.34M shares)
- Volume well above average throughout May, suggesting institutional participation
My Outlook:
The combination of a multi-week base breakout with exceptionally strong volume support signals a potentially significant shift in momentum. The key technical question now is whether EPL can overcome the major resistance at ₹210-213.
If the stock can close convincingly above ₹213 in the coming sessions, it would complete a substantial bottoming pattern with potential upside targets at ₹225 initially and ₹240-250 longer-term. Conversely, failure at this resistance could lead to a retest of the breakout level at ₹203-205, which should now provide support.
Keep in the Watchlist and on your Radar.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Ideaforge: Bullish Trend Ahead Amid India-Pakistan Tensions?Hey Everyone! Ideaforge just broke out from a double bottom chart Pattern Neckline , and it looks like a potential trend reversal is in motion. With the breakout confirmed by a volume surge , it seems that smart money might be entering, which is a positive sign for the stock. The technical setup is strong, but let’s dive deeper into the fundamentals to get a clearer picture.
While Ideaforge faces challenges like limited profitability in the past, its future outlook looks promising. The company holds a strong position in India’s drone industry, and 92% of its revenue comes from defense contracts, making it heavily reliant on government spending. Recent developments like drones being used in India-Pakistan border tensions have brought Ideaforge’s technology to the forefront, creating a positive sentiment shift in the market. This real-time application in national security could significantly boost its future growth, especially with the rise in demand for advanced drone technology in defense.
For entry, Stop loss and Target check Chart above!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below!
Strong Technical Breakout Backed by Solid Q4 Earnings🚀 TITAN Technical Analysis | Strong Technical Breakout Backed by Solid Q4 Earnings
📅 Date: May 10, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: Daily
💹 Stock: TITAN (NSE)
📊 Price Action Update:
Titan Company Ltd delivered a stellar performance on May 09, 2025, closing at 3510.30, up by 4.18%. A large bullish candle formed on the daily chart, signaling aggressive buying interest. What makes this move significant is the price breaking above a falling trendline that had acted as a strong resistance zone for several months. The move was backed by strong volume, indicating the presence of institutional buying. This surge came right after the announcement of robust Q4 results, adding a strong fundamental backing to the technical breakout.
🧠 Technical Overview:
Titan's technical outlook is bullish as several indicators are aligning to suggest an ongoing uptrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed above 60, signaling increasing upward momentum. Additionally, the MACD has generated a bullish crossover, and the price action has breached the upper Bollinger Band, often indicating a potential expansion in volatility. The Bollinger Bands Squeeze is nearing its end, suggesting that a breakout could occur soon, reinforcing the expectation of a continued price rise. These combined signals form a strong technical case for traders looking at short- to medium-term opportunities.
🧱 Support & Resistance Analysis:
In terms of support and resistance, the stock faces immediate hurdles at 3575.47 (R1), followed by 3640.63 (R2) and 3751.27 (R3). The major resistance zone lies at 3886.95. On the downside, the stock finds strong support around 3399.67 (S1), with additional cushions at 3289.03 (S2) and 3223.87 (S3). The major long-term support lies at 2925.00. Traders should watch the 3399–3450 zone closely—any dip into this area could offer a low-risk buying opportunity with a good risk-reward setup.
🔍 Volume Analysis
Volume played a crucial role in validating Titan's technical breakout, with 2.86 million shares traded today—nearly three times the average of 1.03 million. This surge in volume signals strong buying interest and confirms institutional participation. Notably, the stock also achieved a 20-day volume breakout, often indicating sustained momentum. Previous breakouts in Titan faltered when volume was low, but this time, the combination of strong volume and price action makes the breakout more reliable, suggesting further upside potential. This spike in volume strengthens the bullish outlook and supports the idea of a new uptrend.
📌 Educational Insight:
Titan's recent breakout serves as a textbook example of how technical patterns align with strong fundamental performance. The company posted robust Q4 results, with a 10.7% YoY increase in profit (Rs 870 Cr), a 19.7% rise in revenue (Rs 13,477 Cr), and a 29.7% surge in EBITDA (Rs 1,438 Cr). Margins expanded from 9.9% to 10.7%, and a dividend of Rs 11 per share was declared. The increased demand in premium jewelry and gold coin segments further supports the bullish narrative.
From a technical perspective, the breakout coincided with a volume surge, further validating the strength of the move. The key lesson here is that when strong fundamentals and bullish technicals align, they can trigger sustainable price movements. Traders should wait for pullbacks to support zones, such as the 3399–3450 range, for low-risk entry opportunities. This setup is ideal for short-term strategies like "Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow (BTST)" or swing trades with defined stop-loss and target levels. Always ensure proper risk management and never rely solely on indicators.
🎯 How to Trade Titan:
Neutral View - If Titan's price sustains above ₹3534 with sufficient volume, it could potentially continue its movement toward ₹3640–3750. However, if the price faces resistance in the ₹3534–3575 zone, a reversal toward ₹3400 or lower may occur. Traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels for potential entry and exit points.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making any investment decisions. Please consult with a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance. The information provided is based on current market conditions and is subject to change.
USDCHFMULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Ind–Pak Tension Sparks Panic! Gift Nifty Crashes 436 Points Now!Tension across the India–Pakistan border isn’t just making headlines — it’s shaking the markets too.
As per recent reports, there’s been a rise in military activity and geopolitical instability, which triggered a massive reaction in Gift Nifty.
Overnight, Gift Nifty tanked 436 points (~1.8%), with back-to-back red candles and volume spikes confirming a fear-driven move.
Sharp fall on the 30-min chart with increased volume — signs of panic selling.
Geo-political fear is real — institutions hate uncertainty, and this newsflow rattled sentiment.
Key support zones are broken — intraday structure now shifts toward the bearish side.
Volatility likely to spike in today’s opening — option premiums can go wild.
Premium sellers need to stay cautious — blindly deploying short straddles/condors can backfire.
This isn’t just a technical breakdown — it’s a sentiment-driven move.
When fear enters the market, logic takes a back seat — so best is to wait and watch the price behavior post opening.
Watch List: Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Defence sector stocks like HAL, BEL, BDL — expect heightened volatility.
Rahul’s View:
Don’t try to be a hero when headlines are hot. Smart traders protect capital and adapt to risk. Let price stabilize, then take calculated trades — not emotional ones.
XAUUSD Ultimate Bullish TargetsBulls - Assemble!
XAUUSD has recently shown a decent pullback. It opens new doors for all traders having a bullish view on Gold. According to my analysis, Gold is mirroring it's previous bull run moves, with a few extra volume bursts (50-100 pips) here and there.
So, the max upside potential for Gold is 3680 - 3700 which is Approximately 4000 pips from the current price (3300). This would be my absolute last target, after which it should see a decent correction once again because that would be extremely overbought region.
Refer to the chart for key reversal zones.
Let's see what happens.
Trade Safe, Don't overleverage your positions.
Cheers!
GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?📊 GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?
The gold market is showing significant liquidity sweeps this Friday. In the early Asian session, price pushed down to the 327x region, collecting liquidity, before swiftly rebounding. On the M30 chart, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed and been filled — signaling accumulation and potential setup for a major move.
📉 Technical Perspective:
Gold has been moving within a parallel descending channel since yesterday. However, during the late Asian session, we saw the first signs of a possible breakout. If the candle closes above 3,324, this could confirm a breakout — at which point an early BUY entry on the retest would be ideal.
🔥 Fundamental Notes:
The market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially tensions between nations and potential tariff announcements from Donald Trump regarding China.
In this climate, trading based on key level reactions is safer than predicting direction. The zones 3,324 and 3,366 will be crucial decision points for bulls and bears. A breakout above 3,366 could shift the short-term trend bullish.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3,345
3,364
3,395
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3,280
3,270
3,256
3,244
3,225
📈 Trade Setup – Friday Strategy:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,280 – 3,278
Stop Loss: 3,274
Take Profits: 3,285 → 3,290 → 3,295 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,320
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
Stop Loss: 3,370
Take Profits: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
✅ Final Note:
Fridays often bring sharp liquidity grabs. Stay cautious, especially with heightened geopolitical tension and pending policy statements from global leaders. Always respect your TP/SL zones to protect your capital.
📌 Let price lead. React to structure. Avoid chasing noise.
Wishing all traders a safe and profitable end of the week!
Shriram Pistons - Wedge BO NSE:SHRIPISTON Made Beautiful Chart Structure today after Q4 Results with Good Price and Volume action.
Wedge Breakout Pattern History:
The chart displays a remarkable track record of successful wedge breakout patterns, which has become a defining characteristic of this stock's technical behaviour:
Past Wedge Breakout Sequence:
First Wedge (2022-2023): Initial falling wedge formation around the ₹550-700 range, which broke out to the upside and catalysed a strong rally.
Second Wedge (Mid-2023): Formed after the first major run-up at the ₹1,000-1,200 level. This wedge breakout propelled the stock toward the ₹1,600 level.
Third Wedge (Early 2024): A more compact wedge pattern around ₹1,800-2,000 that triggered another significant upward move.
Fourth Wedge (Recent): The latest wedge formation, which has just broken out with today's massive 14% price surge.
Pattern Reliability:
What makes this technical setup particularly compelling is the consistency of these wedge patterns:
Each wedge has followed a similar compression pattern
All previous breakouts have led to substantial price advances
The patterns have maintained their predictive validity across different market cycles
The breakouts have consistently occurred on higher-than-average volume (implied by the large price bars)
Current Breakout Analysis:
Today's 14% surge represents a powerful breakout from the most recent wedge pattern:
The breakout has occurred with exceptional momentum (nearly 20% gain on a weekly TF)
The price action has cleared both the upper trendline resistance and previous swing highs
The stock is now approaching its all-time high of ₹2,399.00
Price Structure & Technicals:
Beyond the wedge patterns, the stock shows several positive technical characteristics:
Consistent stair-step pattern of higher lows and higher highs
Each consolidation period (wedge) has been followed by robust expansion
Primary trend remains strongly bullish with price well above major moving averages (implied)
Each breakout has established a new support level at the previous resistance
Projection Based on Historical Pattern:
Given the stock's history of successful wedge breakouts:
The measured move projection from this breakout suggests a potential target in the ₹2,400-2,600 range
The stock could reach new all-time highs if the pattern's reliability continues
Previous breakouts have generally resulted in 20-30% moves from the breakout point
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: ₹2,399.00 (all-time high)
Support: ₹1,950-2,000 (previous wedge upper boundary, now potential support)
Secondary Support: ₹1,800 (previous consolidation level)
Conclusion:
Shriram Pistons & Rings demonstrates a remarkably consistent pattern of wedge breakouts that have reliably preceded significant price advances. Today's powerful breakout continues this technical signature, suggesting the potential for further upside if historical pattern reliability maintains.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Ethereum Wyckoff Accumulation – Weekly Chart BreakdownEthereum Wyckoff Accumulation – Weekly Chart Breakdown
ETH is showing a textbook Wyckoff Accumulation pattern playing out on the 1W timeframe — and if it holds, we could be gearing up for a major breakout rally in the coming months.
Phase Breakdown:
✅ Phase A: Selling Climax (SC) marked the bottom. Automatic Rally (AR) set the resistance. Secondary Tests (ST) confirmed demand at lower levels.
✅ Phase B: Smart money accumulated heavily within the range — no directional move, just shakeouts and traps.
✅ Phase C: The Spring — price dipped below support to liquidate weak hands. Classic bear trap.
✅ Phase D (NOW): Recovery begins. If we see a Sign of Strength (SOS) above resistance with volume, Phase E (markup) is confirmed.
✅ Phase E: Full breakout mode. Higher highs, higher lows. Price discovery.
🟢 Accumulation Zone: $1,600–$1,300
🟢 Key Resistance: ~$3,600–$4,000
🟢 Projection Zone: $4,800 to $7,800+ (if SOS confirms)
✅ Bias: Bullish
Note: Watch for a clean breakout above the resistance zone. Low volume pullbacks = strength.
This is the kind of setup you don’t want to ignore.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis May 9Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
With the green support line maintenance condition, I created a strategy for a sideways market with a red finger long position strategy.
The main sections are indicated by price, so
Please refer to it.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
At the bottom left, with a purple finger,
I just connected the 99,222.6 dollar long position strategy from the 8th analysis article.
*When the red finger moves,
One-way long position strategy
1. 102,536 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks
2. Top section 105,417.6 dollar long position 1st target -> Target price in order from Good to Miracle.
From Miracle, the report is updated,
and the possibility of the report being updated has greatly increased due to yesterday's movement.
The 1st purple finger section at the top
If it doesn't break through, it's a sideways market, but if it breaks through, it can be directly connected to an upward trend,
so it seems safer to operate it as a long position waiting rather than taking a short. (Horizontal range until convergence section 1, 2)
From the green support line deviation of section 2 at the bottom
Because of the full candle on the left, it can be pushed hard,
So you must follow the stop loss price.
This week, it is open from Bottom-> 3rd -> 97086.1,
So please use it well in real time.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis
And I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Thank you.
How to Trade ? (Basic to Advance)Open a Demat account. The first step is to open a Demat account, which serves as a digital repository for your stocks. ...
Understand stock terms. ...
Bids and asks. ...
Fundamental and technical knowledge of stocks. ...
Learn to set stop loss orders. ...
Seek expert advice. ...
Start with safer stocks.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 09-may-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan for 09-May-2025
Timeframe: 15-Min | Previous Close (Approx.): 24,153.20
🔎 Key Technical Levels to Watch:
🔴 Opening Resistance: 24,290
🟧 Opening Support / Pivot Zone: 24,115 – 24,147
🟩 Immediate Support Zone: 24,000 – 24,032
🟦 Last Intraday Support Zone: 23,679 – 23,769
🟢 Major Support Level (Further Down): 23,191
📌 Sideways Resistance Zone (Higher Resistance): 24,434 – 24,480
🟢 1. Gap-Up Opening (📈 Opening above 24,253 — Gap of 100+ Points)
If Nifty opens significantly above 24,253, it will likely be challenging the Opening Resistance level of 24,290 from the start. A gap of this nature indicates strong initial buying interest.
✅ Plan of Action:
- If Nifty opens and sustains above 24,290, the initial move might extend towards the Sideways Resistance Zone (Higher Resistance) of 24,434 – 24,480.
- Educational Insight: When a gap up occurs directly into a resistance level (like 24,290), it's crucial to observe the first 15-30 minutes. Look for either:
- Continuation: Strong bullish candles breaking above 24,290 with good volume, confirming buyer strength. In this case, longs can be considered with a stop-loss below the opening range low, targeting 24,434.
- Rejection: If Nifty struggles at 24,290 or shows signs of weakness (e.g., long upper wicks, bearish engulfing patterns on the 15-min chart), it could be a sign of profit-booking or sellers stepping in. Shorts could be initiated below 24,250 (confirming the gap fill has started) for targets of 24,147 and then the Immediate Support Zone of 24,000 – 24,032.
- Avoid chasing the gap immediately. Wait for price to settle and provide a clear signal. A retest of the breakout level (24,290 if breached) from above would offer a better risk-reward entry for longs.
🟡 2. Flat Opening (🔄 Between 24,053 – 24,253)
A flat opening, likely within the range of the Opening Support / Pivot Zone (24,115 – 24,147) and the Opening Resistance (24,290), suggests initial indecision. The previous close of ~24,153 falls into this scenario.
✅ Plan of Action:
- The zone of 24,115 – 24,147 will be key.
- Bullish View: If Nifty holds above 24,147 and shows strength, longs can be initiated for a target of the Opening Resistance at 24,290. A convincing break above 24,290 could then target the Sideways Resistance Zone of 24,434 – 24,480.
- Bearish View: If Nifty breaks below 24,115 and sustains, it would indicate weakness. Shorts can be considered with targets at the Immediate Support Zone of 24,000 – 24,032.
- Educational Insight: Flat openings often lead to range-bound behavior initially. It's wise to wait for a breakout from the first 30-60 minutes range. Trading within the range can be risky unless clear support/resistance flips are observed on smaller timeframes. The direction of the break from this initial balance will likely set the tone for a significant portion of the session.
🔴 3. Gap-Down Opening (📉 Opening below 24,053 — Gap of 100+ Points)
A gap-down opening below 24,053 would mean Nifty is opening near or below the Immediate Support Zone of 24,000 – 24,032. This indicates significant selling pressure from the outset.
✅ Plan of Action:
- If Nifty opens below 24,032, watch how it reacts to this level.
- Potential Reversal: If the market finds support around 24,000 – 24,032 (e.g., forms a hammer, bullish engulfing, or double bottom on the 15-min chart), a bounce-back towards the gap-fill (towards 24,115 – 24,147) can be anticipated. Longs can be taken with strict stop-loss below the day's low.
- Continuation of Selling: If Nifty decisively breaks below 24,000 and sustains, further selling pressure can drag it towards the Last Intraday Support Zone of 23,679 – 23,769. In this case, short positions can be considered on a pullback to the breakdown level (around 24,000) or on continuation patterns.
- Educational Insight: Large gap downs can sometimes lead to sharp, short-covering rallies if they land in a strong support area. However, it's crucial not to try and "catch a falling knife." Wait for the price to stabilize and show signs of reversal (like a clear basing pattern or bullish candle formations) before considering long trades. If selling momentum is strong, attempting to go long too early can lead to quick losses.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
📏 Position Sizing is Key: Never allocate more than a small percentage of your trading capital (e.g., 1-2%) to a single trade. This helps in surviving drawdowns.
🎯 Define Stop-Loss Before Entry: For option buyers, this could be a percentage of premium (e.g., 20-30%) or based on the underlying spot Nifty level. For sellers, define the maximum acceptable loss or the spot level at which you'll exit.
⏳ Be Mindful of Time Decay (Theta): Especially when buying options, time decay accelerates as expiry approaches. Avoid holding onto losing OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options for too long, hoping for a turnaround.
🛡️ Consider Hedging for Volatility: If volatility is expected to be high or if you are unsure of the direction, consider strategies like spreads (bull call spread, bear put spread) or iron condors to limit risk.
💨 Don't Fight Strong Momentum: If the market is trending strongly, trading against the trend (e.g., buying puts in a strong uptrend) is generally a lower probability trade for option buyers unless a clear reversal is confirmed.
📖 Understand Option Greeks: A basic understanding of Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega can significantly improve your decision-making in options trading.
📌 Summary & Conclusion:
Nifty stands at a point where the immediate direction will be heavily influenced by the opening. The pivot zone around 24,115 – 24,147 is crucial for flat openings.
For Gap-Up openings , the ability to conquer and hold above 24,290 will be tested, with 24,434 – 24,480 as the next target. Failure could lead to a gap fill.
For Flat opens , range-bound action between 24,032 and 24,290 is possible initially. A breakout from this range will offer clearer directional cues.
For Gap-Downs , the 24,000 – 24,032 support zone is critical. A hold could offer a bounce, while a break could accelerate selling towards 23,679 – 23,769.
Always prioritize setups that offer good risk-reward ratios, wait for confirmation, and manage your risk diligently.
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above trading plan is intended purely for educational and informational purposes. It is based on technical analysis of the provided chart and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in the stock market involves significant risk, and you may lose money. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Gold Trading Strategies, May 8-9📊From the current trend, gold is still running in the fifth wave of rising structure started from 2832. The overall trend remains bullish, and it is only a matter of time before the 3500 high is refreshed. Despite this, there was a significant dive in the Asian session today, indicating that the rising rhythm of the fifth wave is not as smooth and unilateral as the third wave, and the trend may be more tortuous.
📊On the 4-hour chart, the 3315 line is the key support. It is not only the important golden section (0.5), but also the position of the MA66 moving average. Gains and losses at this position determine whether the mid-term bull structure can continue.
📊On the hourly chart, the annual moving average support is also located near 3315, while the 0.618 retracement is at 3305, which is also the starting point of the previous rise. Therefore, the 3305-3315 range constitutes a short-term key support belt. If this area is effectively defended, the bulls are expected to exert their strength again.
📊At present, the upper pressure area is mainly concentrated in the 3360-3370 range, which is the previous top and bottom conversion area, and also a potential short-term rebound suppression position. If the gold price fails to effectively break through the high of 3436, it can still be regarded as a fourth wave correction starting from 3201.
✅Therefore, the trading strategy should focus on the following key points:
🔴Resistance level: 3360-3370, the key pressure area for short-term rebound;
🟢Support level: 3305-3315. If it stabilizes effectively, you can intervene with long orders;
✅If it effectively breaks through 3370 and stabilizes above it, it may start a new round of strong upward movement and evolve into a V-shaped reversal trend of "how much it falls, how much it rises", and the market will become more violent. In terms of operation, we should guard against the shock-induced long-short behavior of "washing out longs and washing out shorts". Before the current structure is destroyed, it is still treated as a wide range of shocks. Pay attention to the long-short game in the 3305-3370 range, and flexibly sell high and buy low.
BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025🟢 BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025
"Breakout Incoming? Price Coiling Tighter Near Key Resistance!"
🔍 Market Overview:
Bitcoin has shown strong upward momentum after breaking past the $99,000 mark, reaching a short-term high at $104,269.47. Since then, price has consolidated within a narrowing range. The daily structure remains bullish, but short-term selling pressure is visible — especially ahead of the weekend and macro uncertainty.
🧭 Technical Landscape:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
$104,269.47 – Local top, price has failed to break this level several times.
$105,765 – $106,917 – Previous rejection zone + Fibonacci confluence.
$108,045 – Possible extension target if breakout confirms.
🔻 Support Zones:
$102,301 – Immediate intraday support; likely first retest.
$99,379 – Strong mid-range support, aligned with Moving Average & FVG.
$97,093 – Long-term trendline & high-demand zone.
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Continuation
If BTC holds above $102,300 and breaks H4 resistance:
🔵 Buy Entry: $102,500 – $102,300
🎯 Targets: $104,000 → $105,700 → $106,900 → $108,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $101,800
📉 Scenario 2: Liquidity Grab & Deep Pullback
If BTC loses $102,300 support, expect a move to collect liquidity around $99K:
🔵 Buy Entry: $97,200 – $97,000
🎯 Targets: $99,000 → $101,000 → $102,500
🛑 Stop Loss: $96,400
⚠️ Key Market Considerations:
🧊 DXY Recovery: Short-term USD strength may cap BTC upside.
🏦 Fed Policy Tone: Remains hawkish. Any USD volatility can shift crypto sentiment.
🔼 Long-Term Trend: Still bullish. Focus on buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is entering a coiled zone, awaiting high-volume confirmation. Breakouts or sharp rejections from the current range will decide the next leg.
🚀 Stay patient — Wait for clean candle closes (H4 preferred)
🔒 Stick to your SL/TP — Discipline defines success
💡 Avoid mid-range FOMO. Let price tell the story.